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2018 CPI Outlook: Low Inflationary Environment and Government’s Controlling Policies

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image07-12-2017
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: Others
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  • CPI growth is estimated at 3.6% YoY in 2017 and will fluctuate around 4% in 2018.
  • The government keeps flexible
  • Core CPI stands below the 2% threshold and aggregate demand firmly rises.
  • Commodity prices’ outlook: A sluggish rally.
  • Risk of imported inflation remains lows despite the Dong’s depreciation against other foreign currencies.

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DCM – Important Notes of Analyst Meeting

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image06-12-2017
: DCM
: Fertilizer
: Others
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Yesterday (December 05), PetroVietnam Camau Fertilizer JSC (HSX:DCM) shared some updated information related to topics that investors are interested in, including the gas purchasing price policy, the new NPK-fertilizer project, and the divestment progress by PVN – its parent company.

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VGC Result Update – Company Report Release on 05/12/2017

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image05-12-2017
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: Materials
: Others
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RongViet Research has just released Q3 2017 Result Update Report on VGC Corporation JSC (HNX:VGC) with the following overview and recommendation:

We remain optimistic on our view on VGC’s business based on its new investments in the coming years and stable cash flow from industrial parks. The new investment projects in diversified segments not only adds more capacity to the company’s growth, but also upgrades the product positioning and captures new market share. Two key projects, namely the expanded Yen Phong in Bac Ninh and Dong Van IV in Ha Nam, will be the most potential industrial parks with strategic location and convenient traffic. Furthermore, the State’s divestments may be a catalyst for VGC’s stock price in next period.

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QNS Result Update – Company Report Release on 05/12/2017

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image05-12-2017
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: Vu Tran
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We keep a BUY rating for this stock. But the target price is adjusted to drop to VND74,200 per share compared to the most recent report due to negative business results in 2017 and low projected growth rate in the soymilk segment. Including cash dividend of VND3,000 per share, the total return is estimated at 34%.

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Looking At Banking Stocks’ Price Performance

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image05-12-2017
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: Lam Nguyen
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Thanks to the contribution of some leading stocks, the VNIndex increased about 45% in the first 11 months of 2017. Along with the strong increase of VNIndex, the banking sector also attracted the market’s attention. As the industry index also grew about 47% YTD, most banking stocks increased.

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FPT Retail- Three New Challenges for FPT Shop

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image04-12-2017
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: Retailing
: Others
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Investors interested in retail stocks will have more options when FPT Retail (FPT Retail) is going to be listed. FPT Retail is going to issue share dividends to raise its chartered capital to VND400 billion and plan its listing before April 30, 2018. While the opening of new stores will no longer be a key strategy from 2019, FPT Retail has launched three new key business strategies to increase revenue per store - a key indicator of the retail business.

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Construction Steel Market in The South: Waiting for Major Changes in Market Structure

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image01-12-2017
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: Materials
: Others
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In the economic conditions favorable to the real estate, construction and building materials sectors, the construction steel industry in Vietnam achieved double growth of 24.1% in the 2013-2016 period in terms of total consumption. Particularly in the South, construction steel consumption increased by 30% in 2015 and 2016; In 9M2017, the southern market achieved sales of construction steel over 2 million tons, up 23.5% over the same period.

Looking at the expansion plans of the four largest players, we see no major projects to anticipate the demand growth of construction steel demand in the South. Vinakyoei, a Vietnam-Japan steel joint venture, after completion of the project of 1 million tons of steel per year in 2015, has not announced any plans to expand. Sunsteel and Pomina tend to expand to flat steel as Sunsteel's latest project is a galvanizing plant with a capacity of nearly 400,000 tons per year, while Pomina, in addition to a steel rolling mill of 500,000 tons, also entered the flat steel segment with a plating capacity of 600,000 tons per year. While the South Korean FDI Posco has exported more than 30% of its output and Formosa Ha Tinh has only sold more than 53,000 tons of steel in the southern market in the first nine months of the year, we believe there is a need for sizable steel factories similar to HPG and TIS projects in the North to increase the size and extend the production process to reduce the cost of capital, while taking advantage of the geographic advantage to increase coverage in the South.

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Wholesale Adaptation To Changing Electronic Device Market

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image30-11-2017
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: Consumer Durables
: Others
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When there is an increasing amount of big retailers capable of directly buying products from the manufacturers, or when the manufacturers themselves enter the retail market and establish their own physical and online stores, the traditional value chain of electronic device market (manufacturer -> wholesaler -> retailer -> end customer) is threatened to change to where there is no more place for wholesalers.

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FPT Result Update – Company Report Release on 29/11/2017

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image29-11-2017
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: Software
: Others
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RongViet Research has just released Q3 2017 Result Update Report on FPT Corporation JSC (HSX:FPT) with the following overview and recommendation:

We remain optimistic on the stable growth achieved by FPT’s two core businesses, Technology and Telecom, which was discussed in our previous FPT Company Report. The divestments can be a strong catalyst for FPT share price in the short term as the deals are successfully concluding as expected. In the long term, regarding FPT valuation, the company’s FCFF analysis shows a remarkable stability in cash generation and P/E ratio for 2018 can be revised owing to the higher contribution of Telecom and Technology, which have P/Es that are higher than those of the divested businesses.

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Quick Updates on VNR’s Business Performance

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image29-11-2017
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: Insurance
: Others
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Reinsurance market was unfavorable in 3rd quarter, which caused some difficulties for VNR.

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CHP – Waiting for New Growth Phase in 2019

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image28-11-2017
: CHP
: Utilities
: Others
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At the moment, it can be seen that FY2017 is the peak in operation of CHP and 2018 business results may witness a relative decline. However, given high potential upside in stock valuation and strong growth prospect in business results from 2019 onward, we believe that 2019 would reveal some good opportunities to accumulate CHP at favorable prices.

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Q4/2017 ETFs’ Reconstitution Forecast

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image27-11-2017
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: Others
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2 foreign ETFs will reconstitute their portfolios in December. 

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