TCM – Investors Too Pessimistic on Fire Incident

On September 16, the fabric storehouse of Thanh Cong Textile Garment Investment Trading JSC (HSX:TCM) caught fire. The storehouse area is 2,167m², containing 700,000m of woven fabric, which is worth about USD1.4M-USD1.5M.

As a result, TCM’s stock price decreased by 5.6% to VND28,600. We believe that the market is putting too much pessimism in considering the impact of the incident.

IMP – Company Update Released on 18th September, 2017

We have decided to change our recommendation from NEUTRAL to BUY for IMP. Considering the growth prospects of IMP, we believe that a valuation of VND80,000/share, equivalent to P/E of 21x is appropriate for 2018. Compared to the closing price of VND63,000/share on September 15, the target price, coupled with a stable dividend of VND1,800/share, yields a total expected return of 30%.

PAC – A Low Downside Risk in The Short Term

After the recent meeting with the company’s representatives, RongViet Research would like to give investors some updates on the business activities of Dry Cell & Storage Battery JSC (HSX:PAC).

LHG – High demand for industrial land to get EPS back on growth track

Long Hau JSC (HSX:LHG) is the developer of Long Hau industrial park (IP) in Can Giuoc Town, Long An province. The IP is located 19km from Ho Chi Minh City center and 12km from the city’s well known Phu My Hung residence. Enterprises invested in the IP will have logistics cost advantage with the park located within 3km from the adjacent Hiep Phuoc port cluster. LHG develops its industrial park in three phases as follows:

LTG – Company Report Released on September 14th 2017

Loc Troi Group (LTG – UPCOM) is a big firm in agriculture which was listed on UPCOM on 24/07/2017. Formerly know as An Giang Plan Protection JSC, LTG has been expanding into seed and rice segment to make up a vertical food production value chain.

BID – Business Update

Bank for Investment and Development of Vietnam Jsc. (HSX: BID) is a state owned bank, which is the largest in the banking system group in terms of total assets and equity capital. BID is also known for its largest credit and deposit market share and highest bad debt sold to VAMC. Therefore, BID is expected to be one of the banks that will benefit the most from the directive of accelerating credit growth in 2017 of over 20% of the entire banking sector and from Resolution 42 on piloting bad debt settlement. However, in the next few years, we believe that BID will focus on improving their asset quality rather than pursuing growth.

HBC- Company Report Released on September 12th 2017

RongViet Research has just published a Company report on HBC, in which we present our outlook and recommendation as following:

Review: Electricity Consumption in the First 8 Months of 2017

Recent data from EVN shows a bright landscape about electricity consumption in the first 8 months with accumulated consumption volume reaching 113.9 billion kWh, corresponding to a growth of 8.8% YoY. Moreover, the most noticeable change is the cumulative growth rate which has gradually increased from 8.5% in May to 8.8% in August.

August Trade Preview: Stable Growth in Q3

• Vietnam export growth surprised on the upside in August.
• Exports of electronic products improved while that of textiles, footwear and bags products showed slowdowns.
• Imports of investment goods (machinery equipment and steel) signaled slower growth in Q3 due to a seasonal effect.
• Trade growth was stable in Q3, continuing to pick up in the last quarter of this year.

HUT - Company report introduction

Tasco (HNX:HUT) is a large private infrastructure investor in Northern Vietnam. The firm has actively raised fund to finance various PPP toll roads in the past years. Upon operation, these projects would provide the firm with a steady stream of cash flow over a long period. To create short-term growth, HUT decided to venture in real estate taking advantage of the land bank exchanged for ready-built infrastructure. FY2017 guidance is highly achievable given three open-for-sale real estate projects got sold out and await handovers. In 2018-2019, Foresa My Dinh villa project is expected as a source of earnings driver while full year operation of BOT Cau Nghin toll road from 2018 would improve HUT’s operating cash flow. We take HUT’s recent stance on postponing new BOT investments a positive signal with regard to lesser future capital need and reduced risk of share dilution. However, recent social unrest on toll road projects in Vietnam may put the firm under more scrutiny.

Real Estate Projects Update in Phu Nhuan District, Ho Chi Minh City

Real Estate Projects Update in Phu Nhuan District, Ho Chi Minh City

Replacing Foreign Drugs with Cost-effective Domestic Medicine – a Trend in Upcoming Regulations

Overall, Rong Viet Research estimates that domestic pharmaceutical companies will benefit significantly from these policies, especially those with modern factories that manufactured quality generic drugs to replace imported drugs. Five years after Thailand implemented UHC, generic drugs produced by state owned companies replaced use of branded generics and generics produced by other foreign firms in some areas. The Government Pharmaceutical Organisation supplies 80% of the drugs in public hospitals, as Government produced drugs receive preferential status from hospital purchasers. The situation is replicating in Vietnam with a recent push by the central government for the majority of public tenders for drugs to be locally manufactured.