Declining cargo growth and new port supply both led to intense competition for port operators in Hai Phong (Northern Vietnam) in 2016. Small port operators have been hit the hardest by these changes. Consequently, Hai An Stevedoring and Transport JSC (HAH-HSX) saw revenue and earnings after tax fall by 7%YoY and 20%YoY, respectively.
Since the company has been continuously improving its recently completed plant in Hai Duong, HPG is capable of producing over 200,000 tons of construction steel products per month. As the company’s well-developed retail network assists its sales volume, HPG has now captured over 22% of the domestic market share for long products, allowing it to overcome VNSteel Group, which has a market share of 21%, and gain the top position.
Regarding steel pipes, several capacity expansions during the year enabled Hoa Phat to sell nearly 500,000 tons in 2016. At the present, HPG’s market share is approximately 26%, while its archrival, Hoa Sen recorded a reduced market share of around 20%.
During the Lunar New Year holiday, the market received negative news from the US, as it is considering border tax adjustments (BTAs) on imported products that will affect global trade. This will affect a large number of global markets, particularly Vietnam. In this note, Rong Viet Research would like to share with investors some preliminary comments on this policy and its impact on Vietnam.
MWG continues to be the leader in the retail industry for mobile phones and consumer electronics. However, expansion for Thegioididong could experience a slowdown this year. Consequently, DienmayXanh will be the main growth momentum for MWG for the next 2 years. RongViet Research believes that MWG will face several obstacles to achieve its similar rapid growth of the past, due to the saturation of Vietnam’s market coupled with the emergence of increased competition.
Airport Corporation of Vietnam (ACV-Upcom) operates 22 commercial airports across Vietnam. The firm’s business growth has been driven by the rise of incomes in Vietnam, increasingly affordable air travel expenses, and Vietnam’s deeper global economic integration. As Vietnam’s economy is still in its emerging state, we expect air traveler volume to continue growing at 15-20% in the coming years. Expansion at major airports (Tan Son Nhat, NoiBai, Da Nang and Phu Quoc) will add 23% passenger capacity between 2016-2018 and relieve the current state of under capacity. Since fixed costs make up the majority of airport operations, ACV’s recent increased service charges proposal would have a positive impact on the firm’s earnings if approved.
The volume of automobile sales reached 304,427 units in 2016, increasing by 24% compared to the previous year. Despite its double-digit growth rate, the auto industry witnessed slower growth when compared to 2014 and 2015. Notably, there was a significant slowdown in the last two months of 2016, as automobile sales in 11/2016 and 12/2016 reached 28,431 units (-4% YoY) and 33,295 units (only +13% YoY), respectively. Passenger cars and commercial vehicles sales volume were 182,347 units (+27% YoY) and 106,347 units (+19% YoY), respectively. It should be noted that growth of demand for automobile consumption is currently in a downtrend.
Rong Viet Research had a meeting with the representative of Petroleum Equipment Assembly & Metal Structure JSC (PXS – HSX) this week. During 2016, PXS’s revenue and profit before tax was VND1,550 billion (-11.2% yoy) and VND110 billion (-22.0% yoy) respectively. PXS was only able to achieve ~75% of its plan for the year, and it’s still expected to maintain a 13% cash dividend.
Phu Nhuan Jewelry JSC HSX: PNJ), one of our favorite stocks, has released its preliminary earnings results for FY2016. Its revenue for 2016 was around VND8,720 billion, an increase of 2% over the year before. Retail revenue remained positive, with a growth rate of 29%; same-store sales growth was 8-9% and the contribution of new stores to revenue was ~12%. PNJ’s gross profit margin advanced by 0.63% compared to 2015. Earnings before tax was around VND608 billion, climbing by 204% YoY. Excluding extraordinary items, PNJ’s EBT was 23% higher over the year 2015.
Vietjet Air has delivered remarkable growth since is foundation. Beginning with just a single plane in 2011, the company has now grown to operate 42 aircrafts in 2016, and this number is estimated to reach 78 in 2019. What is more, the airline’s fleet will significantly expand with the arrival of 24 Boeing 737-Max200 planes each year from 2020 to 2023. This raises the question of whether Vietjet can make use of the new aircrafts efficiently.
Many investors have become concerned with the banking system liquidity this year. The apparent reason is that the domestic monetary flow was on an upward trend during 2016, thanks to the SBV’s strong easing monetary policies; this has resulted in a strong boost for the market. Will this story repeat in 2017? We will discuss the risk and opportunities from the monetary flow perspective in today’s analyst pinboard.
Investors paid more attention to the textile industry because of the appearance of Vinatex (VGT). The industry is expected to welcome another “big guy”, as Fortex plans to list on HSX on January 18, 2017 with the reference price of 18,000 dong/share. This article is going to provide some useful information regarding to the company’s operation.
Oil prices reached a trough during Q1, dropping to 27 USD/barrel, which was the lowest point in the past 10 years. However, oil prices soon recovered after this and have been stable at slightly over USD55/barrel during the end of this year. For the whole year, brent oil prices averaged at USD45/barrel. Under this circumstance, Vietnam’s oil & gas industry also received significantly negative impacts, especially for leading companies such as PVN.